Even if we take the lower of those numbers — Messari’s estimate for the liquid supply of XRP — a price of $224 would give the cryptocurrency a market capitalization of over $6 trillion.
While this number isn’t entirely other-worldly, so to speak, it is well, well out of reach for the third-largest cryptocurrency at the moment. Some would even say it’s impossible.
For some perspective, the gross domestic product (output) of the entire United States is around $20 trillion, meaning that at $224, XRP would be equivalent to 30% of that metric. For even more perspective, there isn’t a company that is worth that much money.
Not to mention, analysts estimate that the amount of U.S. dollars (base money) in existence is around $3 trillion, and all fiat currencies (base money) to be valued at somewhere close to $20 trillion.
Rally Still Possible
Although an extended rally to $224 is effectively impossible at the moment unless there was rampant hyperinflation or if XRP was adopted by, say, a central bank, some analysts are certain that at least a ‘meager’ over 100% rally can be had.
He noted that the current price action for the altcoin is very similar to the bottoming pattern seen in December of 2015 and January of 2016, which was followed by a massive spike to pre-crash levels. He added that massive downtrends on altcoin charts are on the verge of being “broken down,” setting the stage for strong reversals to the upside.
He said should the current trend play out as it did in the previous cycle, meaning XRP will need to hold the $0.14-$0.17 range, it could surge as high as $0.473 — 140% higher than current prices — by the middle of 2020.