Quick take:
Veteran Bitcoin and Crypto analyst, Timothy Peterson, has given BTC a 50% chance at breaking and surpassing $30,000 next year. Mr. Peterson made the comments via Twitter and also pointed out that such a value puts Bitcoin’s expected return at 21%. Below is his tweet in which he shares his analysis of Bitcoin
.Mr. Peterson’s comments were made earlier today and before Bitcoin set a new all-time high value of $23,800 -Binance rate. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $23,584 and looks set to attempt breaking this recently set all-time high in the hours or days to follow.
A quick glance at the daily BTC/USDT chart below reveals that Bitcoin is still bullish and could have enough ‘juice’ for another push higher.
From the daily Bitcoin chart above, the following can also be observed.
It is therefore not surprising that the crypto exchange of Deribit has introduced a Bitcoin options contract with a $100k strike price which will expire September 24th, 2021. The exchange shared their new investment product via the following tweet.
However, Bitcoin pushing as high as $100k by next September might be pushing the limits of probabilities as explained by Timothy Peterson in the following statement in response to Deribit’s launch of the options contract.
A lottery ticket for suckers, no rational investor would take this bet. The expected return on this option is effectively 0 and probability of failure exceedingly high. The expected return on buy and hold #bitcoin is > 0 and probability of failure almost zero.