Quick take:
Bitcoin and crypto analyst Timothy Peterson has identified $30k as a ‘red alert’ zone for Bitcoin using his Metcalfe Model. Mr. Peterson shared his analysis via Twitter and explained that Bitcoin breaking this level, would increase its chances of a future large crash similar to those experienced in 2012, 2014 and 2018.
His exact analysis was as follows with a chart highlighting the ‘red zone’ for Bitcoin according to his Metcalfe model.
“Red Alert” would be at $30,000 #Bitcoin. Doesn’t mean sell, just means the risk of a future large crash (2012, ’14, ’18) is nearing 100%.
With respect to price, Bitcoin has had a bullish run beginning Christmas eve when it was trading at around $23,500. Bitcoin has since broken the $24k, $25k, $26k and $27k price ceilings in quick succession with the last three levels
accomplished in less than 24 hours.Bitcoin’s new all-time high is $27,756 – Binance rate. This translates to a 13.3% increment since Christmas Eve and a 12% increment in the last 24 hours.
In the next few hours and days, Bitcoin is staring at three important milestones in the form of the weekly close, monthly close and yearly close. The weekly close is tonight, December 27th, and Bitcoin maintaining a value above $20k – $27k is very bullish. Similarly, a high monthly and yearly close at a similar level on the 31st of December will be the highest ever in the history of Bitcoin.
From a technical analysis point of view, Bitcoin is once again in overbought territory as shall be explained via the following daily BTC/USDT chart.
From the chart, the following can be observed
Summing it up, Bitcoin has once again gone parabolic with $28k looking like the logical next level that BTC will conquer. However, as with all parabolic movements of any asset, Bitcoin risks undergoing a heavy correction in the near future. Bitcoin testing $30k increases the chances of such a correction being a large crash as explained by Timothy Peterson of Cane Island Alternative Advisors.